Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, nevertheless?) is independent from winning or losing on any scratch ticket, you treat each event as persistent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent ordeals. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the probabilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets back to back (if that’s what your issue is asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately 5.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 coming from 10 million, which amounts to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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